With the expanded 2026 World Cup format, the group stage looks more competitive than ever, creating plenty of talking points for fans and analysts alike, including those following the tournament through a leading sports betting app. While some groups have clear favourites, others are finely balanced and could hinge on fine margins. Here is a group-by-group look at who is most likely to finish top and why.
Group A: Mexico, South Africa, Korea, UEFA Play-off D winner
Group A is one of the more evenly matched groups in the tournament. Mexico, South Africa and Korea all bring different strengths, and any of the European playoff teams would be competitive additions. Mexico's World Cup experience, combined with home-region familiarity and tournament know-how, gives them the edge. They're built to navigate tight games and grind out results.
Group B: Canada, Qatar, Switzerland, UEFA Play-off A winner
This group has intrigue, especially depending on which European side qualifies. Canada and Qatar are improving but remain inconsistent, while Switzerland are reliable, organised and tactically disciplined. Their experience in navigating group stages, plus their FIFA world ranking, makes them the safest bet to finish top.
Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, Scotland
Brazil are the clear favourite here. They are the most successful nation in World Cup history, having won the tournament five times – most recently in 2002 – and reached at least the quarter-finals at every tournament since. Currently ranked fifth in the world, Brazil's consistency, depth and experience at major tournaments puts them ahead of well-organised but less proven opposition.
Group D: United States, Paraguay, Australia, UEFA Play-off C winner
The United States have built momentum over recent international cycles, with strong performances in CONCACAF tournaments. Though they have only ever made it as far as the quarter-finals, they will be playing in familiar conditions with a settled core of players. Their form suggests they are well placed to edge a competitive group.
Group E: Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao
Germany's international form has stabilised after a turbulent period, and they come into this group with something to prove. Since winning the World Cup in 2014, they've failed to get out of the group stage at every tournament – a run that's raised questions about their consistency. However, they remain the highest-ranked team here and, on paper, still possess more depth and quality than their opponents. If they can translate that into performances, they'll have enough to finish top.
